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NWS: There may be a severe tropical storm or typhoon this summer

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THE National Weather Service on Guam said Rota, Tinian, and Saipan could see a severe tropical storm or typhoon from July to August, and one to two typhoons from September to November.

The Northern Islands could experience a severe tropical storm, and one to two typhoons from mid-July to the end of September, the June issue of the NWS newsletter stated.

“Keep in mind, these predictions are for seasonal activity and are not a landfall forecast,” it also stated.

Typhoons can occur throughout the year in the western North Pacific, not just between the months of June and November, NWS said.

Known as “Typhoon Alley,” the region this year has had an “average” year of activity, with a number of tropical cyclones passing through the Marianas region, NWS added.

“Unlike 2018, Guam, Rota, Tinian, and Saipan avoided direct hits. However, Super Typhoon Hagibis and Typhoon Bualoi passed just north of Saipan, passing over Anatahan.”

NWS said the islands “have been fortunate to have very little tropical activity for the first half of this year. Nevertheless, everyone should be prepared…. Most of us are still dealing with modified day-to-day operations due to Covid-19, therefore, keep that in mind as you make your preparedness plans… Together, our communities can be better prepared to face nature’s fury.”

NWS said, “As we proceed into the busier part of the year for tropical cyclones, always remember: it takes only one direct hit by a typhoon to make it a bad year for an island. Therefore, everyone should be prepared every season, regardless of the outlook.”

Drought

NWS noted that the “dry season” for the first half of the year caused drought conditions across several islands in the region.

“The worst conditions were felt across islands including the northern Marshall Islands, the CNMI, and the northern islands of Chuuk and Yap states. We are still issuing drought information statements for these islands as extreme drought conditions persist,” NWS added.

NWS said everywhere else in the region, tropical disturbances and an active Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone, or ITCZ, has brought much-needed rainfall.

“Looking ahead, we expect a return to more average rainfall for all islands in the region, eventually bringing an end to the drought.”

 

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